1) La descarga del recurso depende de la página de origen
2) Para poder descargar el recurso, es necesario ser usuario registrado en Universia

Detalles del recurso


The Ryder Cup is played for between the golfers of Europe and the USA and consists of 8 foursomes, 8 fourballs and 12 singles matches played over 3 days. Each match is worth one point; hence, to win, a team must gain at least 14½ points. In live coverage of the event, considerable attention is paid to the predicted outcome but typically this is assessed by the crude method of assuming that any match a team is currently leading is worth one point and any match currently level is worth ½ point. No distinction is made between a match where a team is one up after one hole and one where it is eight up with nine to play. A Markovian model provides a more well-informed prediction of the outcome, in terms of the expected number of points to be won by each team given the current score in each match. This takes account of estimates of the probabilities of holes being won or halved in the different formats of fourballs, foursomes and singles, based on historical data from the Ryder Cup and other major professional golf tournaments. As well as an expected final score, the model also provides a probability distribution of the event outcome and could be used to estimate the implicit odds of any outcome for ‘in-play’ betting.

Pertenece a

White Rose Research Online  


Maher, MJ - 

Id.: 55224416

Versión: 1.0

Estado: Final

Tipo de recurso: Article  -  NonPeerReviewed  - 

Tipo de Interactividad: Expositivo

Nivel de Interactividad: muy bajo

Audiencia: Estudiante  -  Profesor  -  Autor  - 

Estructura: Atomic

Coste: no

Copyright: sí

Requerimientos técnicos:  Browser: Any - 

Relación: [References] http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dps008
[References] http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/43883/

Fecha de contribución: 20-feb-2016


* Maher, MJ (2012) Predicting the outcome of the Ryder Cup. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 1 - 9 (9). ISSN 1471-678X

Otros recursos del mismo autor(es)

  1. Exploring crash-risk factors using Bayes’ theorem and an optimization routine Regression models used to analyse crash counts are associated with some kinds of data aggregation (e...
  2. A note on the modelling of TfL fixed speed camera data The note describes the analysis and modelling of data on Transport for London's fixed and red-light ...
  3. A tennis assignment algorithm The article describes the development and application of a method to assign players to 4-person grou...
  4. Modelling of GoSafe speed camera data The report analyses monthly data on collisions for 274 speed camera sites in Wales, in order to esti...
  5. Fitting and updating predictive accident models including trend

Otros recursos de la misma colección

  1. High-resolution digital elevation model from tri-stereo Pleiades-1 satellite imagery for lava flow volume estimates at Fogo Volcano Resolving changes in topography through time using accurate high-resolution digital elevation models...
  2. Distributed Binary Event Detection Under Data-Falsification and Energy-Bandwidth Limitation We address the problem of centralized detection of a binary event in the presence of falsifiable sen...
  3. Network analysis identifies proinflammatory plasma cell polarization for secretion of ISG15 in human autoimmunity Plasma cells (PCs) as effectors of humoral immunity produce immunoglobulins to match pathogenic insu...
  4. Evidence for the release of long-term tectonic strain stored in continental interiors through intraplate earthquakes The occurrence of large earthquakes in stable continental interiors challenges the applicability of ...
  5. Assessing the impact of pubs on community cohesion and wellbeing in the English countryside: a longitudinal study Purpose The study presented in this paper explores and examines how public houses or pubs function a...

Aviso de cookies: Usamos cookies propias y de terceros para mejorar nuestros servicios, para análisis estadístico y para mostrarle publicidad. Si continua navegando consideramos que acepta su uso en los términos establecidos en la Política de cookies.