1) La descarga del recurso depende de la página de origen
2) Para poder descargar el recurso, es necesario ser usuario registrado en Universia


Opción 1: Descargar recurso

Detalles del recurso

Descripción

In this paper, we study possible impacts of anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on the 21st century climate on the continental USA using the MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) framework. Climate change simulations use an emissions scenario developed with the IGSM’s Economic Projection and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model. The scenario represents a global emission path consistent with the current view on the trajectories of technological and economic development. The estimates of possible changes in climate are based on an ensemble of 400 simulations with the IGSM’s MIT Earth System Model (MESM), a model of intermediate complexity. Regional changes over the USA were obtained using statistical downscaling that incorporates results from the simulations with the CMIP5 Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs). The results show that under the considered emissions scenario, surface air temperature averaged over the continental USA increases by 2.6 to 4.4K by the last decade of the 21st century (90% probability interval) relative to pre-industrial temperatures, compare to 2.3 to 3.4K for the whole globe. Corresponding changes in precipitation are -0.65 to 0.34 mm/day and 0.13 to 0.22 mm/day, respectively. There is significant variation in the geographical distribution of those changes among the ensemble simulations.

Pertenece a

DSpace at MIT  

Autor(es)

Sokolov, A. -  Gao, X. -  Paltsev, S. -  Monier, E. -  Chen, H. -  Kicklighter, D. -  Prinn, R. -  Reilly, J. -  Schlosser, A. - 

Id.: 70124830

Idioma: inglés (Estados Unidos)  - 

Versión: 1.0

Estado: Final

Tipo de recurso: Working Paper  - 

Tipo de Interactividad: Expositivo

Nivel de Interactividad: muy bajo

Audiencia: Estudiante  -  Profesor  -  Autor  - 

Estructura: Atomic

Coste: no

Copyright: sí

Requerimientos técnicos:  Browser: Any - 

Relación: [References] MIT Joint Program Report Series;320

Fecha de contribución: 08-oct-2017

Contacto:

Localización:
* Report 320

Otros recursos de la mismacolección

  1. Estimating the potential of U.S. urban infrastructure albedo enhancement as climate mitigation in the face of climate variability The climate mitigation potential of U.S. urban infrastructure albedo enhancement is explored using m...
  2. A Win-Win Solution to Abate Aviation CO2 Emissions We outline a benchmark carbon dioxide (CO2) intensity system with tradable permits for the aviation ...
  3. Application of the Analogue Method to Modeling Heat Waves: A Case Study With Power Transformers Large power transformers (LPTs) are critical yet increasingly vulnerable components of the power gri...
  4. The Revenue Implications of a Carbon Tax A primary reason for implementing a carbon or greenhouse gas tax is to reduce emissions, but in rece...
  5. The Future Water Risks Under Global Change in Southern and Eastern Asia: Implications of Mitigation Understanding and predicting the future vulnerability of freshwater resources is a major challenge w...

Aviso de cookies: Usamos cookies propias y de terceros para mejorar nuestros servicios, para análisis estadístico y para mostrarle publicidad. Si continua navegando consideramos que acepta su uso en los términos establecidos en la Política de cookies.