Mostrando recursos 1 - 2 de 2

  1. The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100

    KS, Samir; Lutz, Wolfgang
    This paper applies the methods of multi-dimensional mathematical demography to project national populations based on alternative assumptions on future, fertility, mortality, migration and educational transitions that correspond to the five shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) storylines. In doing so it goes a significant step beyond past population scenarios in the IPCC context which considered only total population size. By differentiating the human population not only by age and sex - as is conventionally done in demographic projections - but also by different levels of educational attainment the most fundamental aspects of human development and social change are being explicitly addressed through modeling the changing composition of populations by...
    (application/pdf) - 18-oct-2016

  2. The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100

    KS, Samir; Lutz, Wolfgang
    This paper applies the methods of multi-dimensional mathematical demography to project national populations based on alternative assumptions on future, fertility, mortality, migration and educational transitions that correspond to the five shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) storylines. In doing so it goes a significant step beyond past population scenarios in the IPCC context which considered only total population size. By differentiating the human population not only by age and sex - as is conventionally done in demographic projections - but also by different levels of educational attainment the most fundamental aspects of human development and social change are being explicitly addressed through modeling the changing composition of populations by...
    (application/pdf) - 01-mar-2017

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