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1. A Geometric Formulation of Occam's Razor for Inference of Parametric Distributions - Balasubramanian, Vijay
I define a natural measure of the complexity of a parametric distribution relative to a given true distribution called the {\it razor} of a model family. The Minimum Description Length principle (MDL) and Bayesian inference are shown to give empirical approximations of the razor via an analysis that significantly extends existing results on the asymptotics of Bayesian model selection. I treat parametric families as manifolds embedded in the space of distributions and derive a canonical metric and a measure on the parameter manifold by appealing to the classical theory of hypothesis testing. I find that the Fisher information is the natural measure of distance, and give a novel justification...
- 26-jun-2007